Overview: A Long-only portfolio targeting Nasdaq and S&P 500 stocks, leveraging historical seasonality and advanced validation methods. Designed for steady returns and risk management through price action verification and market regime analysis.
Objective: Optimize capital allocation, maximize returns, and minimize drawdowns by maintaining a dynamic yet disciplined approach.
Instruments: Focused exclusively on Nasdaq and S&P 500 stocks, with a maximum of 10 active positions at time.
Check the last updated performances of this Portfolio: here
KEY DATA OF THE PORTFOLIO
- Expected Yearly Return: 13.03%
- Profit Factor: 7.48
- Max Drowdown: -7%
- Net Profit/ Max DrowDown: 156,7
- Sharpe Ratio: 0,47
- Risk Management: Based on VIX
- Signal Management: Daily signal, that will be sent every time a position has to be opened or closed.
- Minimum “entry” capital recommended for this portfolio: €2.000/5,000 (depending on the commission of your broker)
All values are calculated From September 2008 to July 2024
More portfolio' details and his Historical Performances: here
Key Features of this portfolio:
Strategic Focus
- Capitalizes on seasonality trends for 97 US stocks, identifying statistically robust periods for growth
- Enhances signal reliability through price action and volatility analysis before executing trades
Adaptive Strategy
A well-structured seasonal methodology that dynamically adjusts stock selection based on:
- Historical Seasonality Windows: Identifies statistically sound bullish trends
- Daily Performance Ranking: Prioritizes top-performing stocks within the seasonal framework
- Entry Timing Validation: Confirms seasonal signals with price action and volatility analysis
Stability Through Market Adaptation
- Positions held from 2-3 weeks to 2–3 months, adapting to stock-specific seasonality patterns
- Strict stop-loss of 20% per position ensures downside protection while allowing room for recovery.
Risk Management
- Market Regime Analysis: Filters out adverse market conditions (e.g., the COVID-19 "black swan" period). Uses a systematic approach to limit concurrent positions to a maximum of 10, reducing concentration risk
- Stop-loss set at 20% of the invested capital per stock, rigorously backtested for safety and flexibility
Performance Highlights
- Predictability: Based on rigorously backtested seasonality patterns
- Capital Optimization: Limits active positions to 10, freeing up unused capital during inactive periods
- Ease of Use: Straightforward signals and uniform capital allocation simplify portfolio management
Strengths
- Seasonal Expertise: Leverages historical seasonality to target statistically favorable entry points
- Risk Control: Stop-loss and performance-based entry/exit ensure disciplined risk management
- Clear Communication: Daily updates provide transparency and guidance for portfolio adjustments
Technical Details
- Broker Requirements: Compatible with any broker allowing US stock trading (e.g., Etoro, Trading212, Degiro, Interactive Brokers, etc)
- Manual Execution: Users manually enter and exit trades based on signals
- Testing Phase: New users can trial the portfolio in demo mode for 3 Months
- Commission Consideration: Backtests include $4 round-turn commissions.
Conclusion
This portfolio is a robust, well-researched strategy for investors seeking consistent returns with controlled risk. Its reliance on historical seasonality and disciplined signal execution makes it a powerful tool for optimizing performance across the Nasdaq and S&P 500, while its user-friendly structure ensures accessibility for all levels of investors.
Contact & Support
- Signal Delivery: Regular updates through a dedicated Telegram channel
- Support: For any additional info do not esitate to contact us at: info@resonancequantlab.com
- Consultation: We can set up a call to better explain you this service
US SeasonalEdge Portfolio
BlackFriday30% (Applies at CheckOut)
Subscription to a private Telegram channel for:
- Entry and Exit signals for this Portfolio. Signals will be sent every time a position has to be opened or closed
- Periodical reporting on Portfolio Performances
